![]() In 11 appearances he has a win, four Top 3 finishes, and has finished worse than 13th just twice. Charley has made many more headlines off of the course than he has on the course this year, but he’s dominated TPC San Antonio in a way very few player’s have dominated any course. In words I never thought I’d write, this all leads us to a quick profile of Charley Hoffman. Only 35 players in this field meet that threshold this week, and we can certainly use OTT play to help narrow down the field. And, due to this five of the last six winners entered the week gaining over +0.3 stokes per round OTT in the 50 rounds before their win. The course isn’t extremely long so elite power is not a requirement here, but above average distance and accuracy OTT presents a significant edge. This obviously is going to give an edge to longer hitters who can avoid a significant foul ball throughout the week. This is of course where Kevin Na carded a 16 by going for a walk about in those towering oaks. Hit it into the oaks and you’re probably screwed. In simple terms, the “fairway” effectively stretches from the edge of the oaks on the left to the edge of the oaks on the right. the trees, sand, water, etc) is significantly above Tour average. However, the non-rough penalty (additional strokes needed to score from not the rough or the fairway, i.e. There is effectively no harm done in any way to play from the rough versus the fairway. The rough penalty (additional strokes needed to score from the rough) at the venue is lowest on Tour. The only “jump off the page” stat about the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio is the rough. This has resulted in winning scores over the last three years averaging out at 18 under when they previously averaged 11 under from 2011-2017. In fact the course has gotten progressively easier over the last six years as player’s increased distance off of the tee has turned the Par 5s from the most difficult on Tour to just above Tour average in difficulty. But, not really that long and not really that hard. Everything points to a course that is kind of long and kind of hard. But really, let’s go.Ī look through the course characteristics results in very few standout data points. Let’s go! Let’s go! Let’s go! (that was more to wake myself up than anything else). ![]() In that type of scenario opportunity exists to cash well down the board. The top of the board is void of much elite talent, and the elite talent that has arrived probably feels as excited about playing in the event as we do about betting it. If there is a reason to be excited for this event it’s that I’m feeling the longshot vibes that resulted in Hudson Swafford at 250/1 at the American Express. We’re putting the blinders on, pulling up our boots and locking in on TPC San Antonio right now. So, if you’re here reading this we still have a job to do. And, that someone is going to have odds on which we can bet and tickets will exist which we can cash. However, someone is going to win the Valero Texas Open. There’s simply no mountain too high for the Big Cat to ascend. I love Tiger and it’s going to be pretty insane if he plays the Masters. ![]() There are probably 100x more people tracking Tiger Wood’s plane flying to Augusta than there will be people closely following the Valero Texas Open.įrankly, I can’t blame them.
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